Economy

Fed’s Mester sees policy rate above 4%, hikes through mid-2023


FILE PHOTO: Cleveland Federal Reserve Bank President Loretta Mester speaks in London, Britain, July 2, 2019. REUTERS/Marc Jones/File Photo

By Lindsay (NYSE:LNN) Dunsmuir

(Reuters) -The U.S. Federal Reserve should raise interest rates to above 4% to help bring inflation down and must aim to keep tightening through the first half of next year, Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester said on Thursday.

“I would pencil in going a bit above four as appropriate,” Mester told reporters following an event held at the Economic Club of Pittsburgh, in reference to the central bank’s policy rate, making her one of the most hawkish members of the rate-setting committee. “It’s not unreasonable I think to maintain that as where we’re getting to and then we’ll see.”

A bevy of policymakers have this week near uniformly flagged that the central bank remains determined to press ahead with rate hikes until it sees strong and long-lasting evidence that inflation is on track back down to the Fed’s 2% goal.

Mester once again repeated comments earlier this week that she’ll need to see several months of monthly declines in inflation before she feels the Fed can ease up on rates and offered a more precise trajectory on how quickly she and her colleagues could get there.

“Interest rates continue to rise this year and into next year through the first half and maybe by then we can pause and we can start bringing them back down,” Mester said.

On the size of rate hike needed at the Fed’s next policy meeting on Sept. 20-21, the Cleveland Fed chief said she was keeping an open mind. Fed Chair Jerome Powell has already indicated it will likely be another unusually large lift in borrowing costs.

“It’s not unreasonable to think we might have to do a 75 (basis point move) but I can imagine it could be a 50. We’ll just have to look at the data as it comes in,” Mester said.

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